The Red Balloon

The Red Balloon (1956)

Moderate
6.8

Why we're confident in this score

420 ratings. The score is reasonably stable but could shift up to 0.11 as more ratings come in.

The Math

Prior (global mean)m = 5.985
Prior weightC = 500
Observed ratingsn = 420
Observed averageR = 7.73
Posterior mean (Bayesian score)6.783
95% confidence interval±0.1055

Formula: posterior_mean = (n / (n + C)) × R + (C / (n + C)) × m. The confidence interval narrows as more ratings come in. Films with few ratings are pulled toward the global mean.

This film vs. typical moderate films

MetricThis filmMedian (moderate)
Rating count420512
95% CI±0.1050±0.1116
Films in tier13,151

Last computed: September 17, 2026 at 04:10 AM

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