The Bet

The Bet (1997)

Moderate
6.1

Why we're confident in this score

478 ratings. The score is reasonably stable but could shift up to 0.12 as more ratings come in.

The Math

Prior (global mean)m = 5.985
Prior weightC = 500
Observed ratingsn = 478
Observed averageR = 6.27
Posterior mean (Bayesian score)6.123
95% confidence interval±0.1177

Formula: posterior_mean = (n / (n + C)) × R + (C / (n + C)) × m. The confidence interval narrows as more ratings come in. Films with few ratings are pulled toward the global mean.

This film vs. typical moderate films

MetricThis filmMedian (moderate)
Rating count478511
95% CI±0.1180±0.1117
Films in tier13,073

Last computed: May 16, 2026 at 01:21 AM

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